Snowstorm heading for NJ could explode into 'bomb cyclone' over East Coast – NJ.com

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Snowstorm heading for NJ could explode into 'bomb cyclone' over East Coast – NJ.com

The key ingredients for a blockbuster snowstorm on Thursday appear to be locked in: Cold air already in place, and lots of moisture on the way.

However, one huge factor that remains uncertain is the exact track of the storm system that will move up the Atlantic coast Wednesday and intensify as it moves toward Cape Cod on Thursday. The precise track will mean the difference between a minor nuisance snow event or a potentially sizable snowstorm for New Jersey and New York City.

Weather forecasters say if the center of this storm system moves far offshore, this storm will be a bust for most of the Garden State and the Big Apple. However, if the center tracks closer to the Atlantic coast, the storm has the potential to dump as much as 10 to 12 inches of snow over many parts of our region.

During the past two days, computer guidance models have been very inconsistent on where the storm is most likely to end up. That’s why many snowfall projections have ranged anywhere from 1 to 6 inches, and some forecasters have been predicting snowfall totals as high as a half foot to a foot.

“It’s a game of inches,” said Sarah Johnson, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service’s regional forecast office in New Jersey. “How close (the center of the storm gets to the coast) makes a big difference. If it just wobbles thirty miles to the west, then we could see bigger impacts farther west.”

Published at Tue, 02 Jan 2018 22:53:57 +0000

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